Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 439.119639 498.839791 564.990776 643.921602 735.825443 839.798704 966.813565
2026-01-18 340.992583 417.056378 508.816150 628.534546 781.877427 973.408507 1233.425802
2026-01-25 286.749600 368.033357 471.763754 615.481830 812.016078 1075.134766 1460.468882
2026-02-01 259.217015 346.225368 462.587516 632.209442 877.571992 1226.565758 1773.308172
2026-02-08 232.709710 321.188286 444.199211 631.319153 915.226114 1340.670908 2047.742070
2026-02-15 209.864367 297.949966 424.595186 624.555114 941.018346 1437.916155 2309.260183
2026-02-22 194.002815 282.684620 414.209708 629.228716 983.349017 1564.713860 2638.516694
2026-03-01 177.002470 263.760091 395.940293 618.701422 998.683008 1647.773789 2904.204119
2026-03-08 163.586130 248.914662 382.232311 613.446496 1021.240975 1744.917738 3211.019567
2026-03-15 148.029410 229.221991 358.792444 589.032107 1006.847287 1773.050602 3388.106637
2026-03-22 142.612006 225.340929 360.640985 607.968665 1072.079466 1956.957470 3913.007013
2026-03-29 138.701801 223.520986 365.607956 632.694183 1150.840687 2178.076449 4561.189078
2026-04-05 131.070039 214.916195 358.382514 634.842863 1187.418986 2322.304850 5074.234514
2026-04-12 121.508402 202.228141 342.891911 619.852825 1188.041084 2391.852004 5428.106469
2026-04-19 113.235330 191.146670 329.302143 606.998334 1191.192572 2466.893530 5811.230706
2026-04-26 109.750289 188.342328 330.567988 623.460688 1258.204493 2695.129508 6641.674172
2026-05-03 104.296527 181.505859 323.670960 622.584538 1287.194344 2839.618012 7281.653317
2026-05-10 98.604989 173.802037 314.469605 615.928090 1302.248711 2952.800520 7860.957545
2026-05-17 94.689063 169.152303 310.790625 620.527371 1343.719176 3138.267467 8702.308980
2026-05-24 89.428401 161.556634 300.686996 610.167365 1348.387158 3229.858515 9277.409623
2026-05-31 85.119915 155.523228 293.262018 604.995784 1365.016238 3356.021235 9999.422581
2026-06-07 79.237305 146.021804 278.092321 580.967196 1331.850070 3341.011323 10242.596318
2026-06-14 77.894462 145.478630 281.393441 599.604719 1409.612338 3651.092591 11717.833980